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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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you say mitt romney is ahead in your tracking polls. guest: i think the model most of them are using is the 2008 model and that was an unusual election. host: in terms of sampling? guest: yes. we know the intensity level -- first of all, of voting dropped off substantially in 20008. the president won ohio by 4.16% of the vote. we think that model -- we do not believe they have matched and that intensity this year. we think it has shifted into the republican camp. if you look at the counties around our major metropolitan areas, this is where we are substantially outperforming. host: i want to ask you -- we have been talking about hurricane sandy and its effects this morning. do you think it will have an impact on ohio at all? guest: it certainly has had an impact in northern ohio. i live in the city of cleveland and was without electricity from monday to just yesterday. there are still 70,000 folks out. that does not even compared to the problems that new jersey and new york and the eastern sea coast had. i think we've feel pretty lucky.
you say mitt romney is ahead in your tracking polls. guest: i think the model most of them are using is the 2008 model and that was an unusual election. host: in terms of sampling? guest: yes. we know the intensity level -- first of all, of voting dropped off substantially in 20008. the president won ohio by 4.16% of the vote. we think that model -- we do not believe they have matched and that intensity this year. we think it has shifted into the republican camp. if you look at the counties...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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and polls showing that romney will lose, that has nothing to do with who will show up to the polls to vote in november. i think a lot of republicans will be energized to go out and first, versus the democrats who collect benefits and do nothing. host: from one of our viewers th-- new york senator chuck schumer yesterday -- [video clip] >> we in the senate said let's focus on areas of common agreement and to guarantee no middle-class households will face a tax cut on january 1. we succeeded in passing. a middle-class tax passing once again, speaker boehner will not work with us. those are two examples of senate-passed bills that the house will not put on the floor. reality is, for as divided as the senate is, we passed a large number of bipartisan bills this year. very important bills. but it takes two chambers to pass a law. on the other side, too many congress members, particularly the tea party folks, i think compromise is a dirty word. host: new york senator chuck schumer, democrat, joined by democratic leader harry reid. the national journal posted this piece this morning on taxes
and polls showing that romney will lose, that has nothing to do with who will show up to the polls to vote in november. i think a lot of republicans will be energized to go out and first, versus the democrats who collect benefits and do nothing. host: from one of our viewers th-- new york senator chuck schumer yesterday -- [video clip] >> we in the senate said let's focus on areas of common agreement and to guarantee no middle-class households will face a tax cut on january 1. we...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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obama has a four-point lead up over romney, the cnn poll. the polls tightening across the country in those battleground states. florida, a democratic caller. alan, we will go back to our topic. caller: from the 2003 opinion, justice o'connor, it encapsulates it. the constitution does not prevent consideration of race. i believe they also said in that opinion that race could not be the primary factor, it could be one of many factors. i think that -- i would hope there could be a way where -- there were people that were more qualified. i think that procedure could be discriminatory, but i would hope that we would find a way to say that this procedure, as it is being applied, does violate the constitution, but not strike down all programs designed to include racial equality and be a diverse student body. host: why this system specifically? do you think it goes a step farther? it takes the top 10 from each school, and then for the next round of admissions it includes race at that point as well? caller: i think i agree with what the gentlemen sai
obama has a four-point lead up over romney, the cnn poll. the polls tightening across the country in those battleground states. florida, a democratic caller. alan, we will go back to our topic. caller: from the 2003 opinion, justice o'connor, it encapsulates it. the constitution does not prevent consideration of race. i believe they also said in that opinion that race could not be the primary factor, it could be one of many factors. i think that -- i would hope there could be a way where --...
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Oct 22, 2012
10/12
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this poll shows obama at 49.7%, romney at 47.3%. the mitt romney first debate bounce has disappeared, though the survey shows that the mitt romney backers are far more energy -- energized about him. in "the washington post" they write -- "it all comes down to foreign policy"? he writes that the seat of the presidential base could well focus on this. "president obama and mitt romney are headed to florida for their final debate, with national polls suggesting that the race is tied and with a terrorist attack in libya dominating the headlines." as you call in this morning, what would you like to see asked at tonight's foreign policy debate? judy, joining us from south carolina. what would you like to hear talked about? caller: i want to know why he did not do anything on iran and why he did not meet with israel. host: who are you referring to? caller: obama. i am a mitt romney supporter. i feel like obama is definitely not christian. i feel like he has definitely not followed up on israel to meet with their prime minister, and i do not
this poll shows obama at 49.7%, romney at 47.3%. the mitt romney first debate bounce has disappeared, though the survey shows that the mitt romney backers are far more energy -- energized about him. in "the washington post" they write -- "it all comes down to foreign policy"? he writes that the seat of the presidential base could well focus on this. "president obama and mitt romney are headed to florida for their final debate, with national polls suggesting that the...
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Mar 14, 2012
03/12
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as we've seen in the polls, is hurting mitt romney. it is hard to get serious momentum here. i have serious doubts about that. i think this will start to wear santorum's numbers as well. they will have to mend fences within their own party. we are talking about a lot of competitive states. we go from county delegates to vote -- counting delegates to count electoral college votes. when we do that is when it starts to focus on the ballots. host: if all of your candidates stay in until the end? caller: i think that you will see some of the smart money on the republican side start to focus a little bit more on the senate races, because the senate majority is at stake. and they will let the presidential work itself out. host: so they will focus more their money on these candidates? caller: right. if this race goes on until september, they can direct more resources to senate and house races. they will operate on their own until they have a ticket. calhost: if it's romney against santorum, does that changed the dynamic? caller: i don't know. rick santorum has had problems throughout
as we've seen in the polls, is hurting mitt romney. it is hard to get serious momentum here. i have serious doubts about that. i think this will start to wear santorum's numbers as well. they will have to mend fences within their own party. we are talking about a lot of competitive states. we go from county delegates to vote -- counting delegates to count electoral college votes. when we do that is when it starts to focus on the ballots. host: if all of your candidates stay in until the end?...
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Mar 6, 2012
03/12
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the latest poll shows 49% of registered voters, 41% for ms. warren. likely voters would show brown at 49%, warrant at 44%. -- warren at 44%. this piece by ted nugent, "i endorse misr -- i endorsed mitt romney, best choice for the white house." our last phone call on this, what do you make about operations to kill suspected terrorists, american citizens, overseas? caller: war today is an unconventional and very vicious, and i do not think our government would take lightly assassinating another human being, but i think it is necessary to ensure the protection of america and americans and our allies abroad. i think it is just fine. host: you are sounding a different tone than many of the other callers that we have heard from today. what makes you take that stand? caller: i am a veteran. i work in veteran affairs as a volunteer, and i see or as necessary but unfortunate -- i see war as necessary but unfortunate. not something that we want to be in, but we have no choice to be in wars and that is how it has always been. i do not think it would be taken lig
the latest poll shows 49% of registered voters, 41% for ms. warren. likely voters would show brown at 49%, warrant at 44%. -- warren at 44%. this piece by ted nugent, "i endorse misr -- i endorsed mitt romney, best choice for the white house." our last phone call on this, what do you make about operations to kill suspected terrorists, american citizens, overseas? caller: war today is an unconventional and very vicious, and i do not think our government would take lightly assassinating...
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Aug 29, 2012
08/12
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now, yet he is even in the polls. that speaks volumes of somebody that could withstand that. everybody knows the president. the president is in your living room every day. you could lead to more not like him, since he has been president you know him. mitt romney is not really well- known. there are relatively small numbers of people in the primaries. for the challenger, this is really the launch pad for getting the american people to really know you, and tomorrow will be very important for him. so, he has been painted in a way by the obama campaign, and this has been their strategy from day one, that whoever they nominated -- we nominated they would try to make not acceptable. obama can not run on his record. if this is a referendum on obama's policy, he can go home now, back to chicago, and start organizing, but they are trying to keep it from being a referendum by saying obama has done -- has not done well, but the other guy is worse. it is very similar to -- it is not a unique strategy. mitt romney has withstood it
now, yet he is even in the polls. that speaks volumes of somebody that could withstand that. everybody knows the president. the president is in your living room every day. you could lead to more not like him, since he has been president you know him. mitt romney is not really well- known. there are relatively small numbers of people in the primaries. for the challenger, this is really the launch pad for getting the american people to really know you, and tomorrow will be very important for him....
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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exit polls show that romney won just 30% of latino voters, down from the 44% george w. bush pulled in in 2004. they may also need to recalibrate positions on reproductive issues such as birth control, planned parenthood, that are harming it among women and young voters. women made up 53% of the vote and broke to obama by a 10-point margin. candidates with extreme positions on abortion cost the gop sure-win senate seats in indiana and missouri. most important, republicans have to define themselves in ways that go beyond merely opposing democrats. senate minority leader mitch mcconnell cynically some of the situation when he declared in 2010 that his top priority was seeing obama defeated." that is the lead editorial this morning in "usa today." up next voice is gregory in north carolina on our democrat'' line. go ahead, gregory. caller: i would like to say that i'm voting for president obama, and i'm glad he won. i'm a veteran of the u.s. army for 14 years. i also worked in plants for a little while after i got out of the army. i am a nurse right now. i've been unemploye
exit polls show that romney won just 30% of latino voters, down from the 44% george w. bush pulled in in 2004. they may also need to recalibrate positions on reproductive issues such as birth control, planned parenthood, that are harming it among women and young voters. women made up 53% of the vote and broke to obama by a 10-point margin. candidates with extreme positions on abortion cost the gop sure-win senate seats in indiana and missouri. most important, republicans have to define...
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Dec 25, 2012
12/12
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, as friend sean hannity soon as they started favoring mitt romney, all these sudden the polls were -- do you really think they believe that or was it just a ploy? i really don't know. guest: i think this is one of the intriguing questions and the people have made an effort to try to answer in recent weeks. there have been all sorts of post mortems of the campaign. some in the mitt romney campaign who told mitt romney that he was going to win. in my mind, it was obvious all along. it is my business as a political analyst for fox news to look at polls, to ask hard questions about voter turnout models. consistently, the answer was president obama has a strong hand here and is likely to win in terms of those key swing states that were going to determine the electoral map. if you were going into this election the weekend before, it was pretty overwhelming, obama wins. gallup had them about even. there were some conservative pollsters who thought it was going to be a romney landslide. when we think young people are going to fade away and they are not as happy with president obama. you woul
, as friend sean hannity soon as they started favoring mitt romney, all these sudden the polls were -- do you really think they believe that or was it just a ploy? i really don't know. guest: i think this is one of the intriguing questions and the people have made an effort to try to answer in recent weeks. there have been all sorts of post mortems of the campaign. some in the mitt romney campaign who told mitt romney that he was going to win. in my mind, it was obvious all along. it is my...
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Apr 10, 2012
04/12
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president obama in this survey gets 46% to mitt romney's 43%. on social issues like abortion, same-sex marriage, president obama comes in with 46% of those. and he leads over mitt romney's 38%. so no double-digit advantage when it comes down to those issues. and michael girth writes romney's woman problem. and he writes this. the media ever drawn to simple explanations that reinforce their own cultural expectations have diagnosed romney's gender electoral weakness as the result to his mandate. this is both initially plausible and false. more than 60% of american voters don't even know romney's position on the mandate -- host: stamford, connecticut. bud, a republican. we're in open phones this morning. go ahead. caller: ok, thank you, c-span. i'm really against the idea of legalizing gay marriage. first of all, just hijacking the word marriage. marriage has been, you know, a union between a man and a woman for the purpose of having children. so hijacking the word marriage just grips against my brain. what about aids? did that just suddenly go awa
president obama in this survey gets 46% to mitt romney's 43%. on social issues like abortion, same-sex marriage, president obama comes in with 46% of those. and he leads over mitt romney's 38%. so no double-digit advantage when it comes down to those issues. and michael girth writes romney's woman problem. and he writes this. the media ever drawn to simple explanations that reinforce their own cultural expectations have diagnosed romney's gender electoral weakness as the result to his mandate....
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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we released a poll earlier this week that shows that it's a tie. it's a tie because of medicare and it's a tie because of mitt romney and paul ryan. the romney agenda is a huge problem. guest: love to have obama comp to that district. the fact is mitt romney. guest: we would love for mitt romney to go up to that district. guest: the fact is chris gibson would have a great opportunity to win this seat. he has a very good independent record and has shown it throughout the district. guest: he's voted with the tea party. host: barbara in new york city, democratic caller. caller: i'm serious, the tea party are holding our government hostage for all of these years. we have shovel-infrastructure jobs ready to go. we need that money to create jobs. the tea party does not believe in government anyway. they shouldn't be running for elected office and to see $20 million of unaccounted money to come in to flip state elections, this is incredible. they only allow $100,000 for a campaign in england. host: mr. harrison, what about the money? guest: listen, we wer
we released a poll earlier this week that shows that it's a tie. it's a tie because of medicare and it's a tie because of mitt romney and paul ryan. the romney agenda is a huge problem. guest: love to have obama comp to that district. the fact is mitt romney. guest: we would love for mitt romney to go up to that district. guest: the fact is chris gibson would have a great opportunity to win this seat. he has a very good independent record and has shown it throughout the district. guest: he's...
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Aug 7, 2012
08/12
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he did polling in the 276 election. he has also reported for "the new republic," and " the national journal." one of our callers brought the vice-presidential race, to see who mitt romney would choose. according to "the washington post" the list gets shorter perio-- we see some of these people, including mike huckabee, condoleezza rice, nikki caylee, susanna martinez. take us through how significant that is. are we still see members of congress on the short list? guest: i hate to it was announced that rick santorum would be a speaker. there would give away a little bit of the buzz there would be able to build. jeb bush, rand paul, rick santorum gives us a little more hint of where the short list is going. there a few incumbent members of congress on the short list. marco rubio is a name that has been talked about a lot. i don't think they will pick him. rubio does not have a lot of experience on the national level. he threatens to overshadow mitt romney. that is the positive that ends up dooming him. host: t.j. tweets i
he did polling in the 276 election. he has also reported for "the new republic," and " the national journal." one of our callers brought the vice-presidential race, to see who mitt romney would choose. according to "the washington post" the list gets shorter perio-- we see some of these people, including mike huckabee, condoleezza rice, nikki caylee, susanna martinez. take us through how significant that is. are we still see members of congress on the short list?...
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Jun 3, 2012
06/12
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nbc had a poll earlier this year in which obama had a 17-point lead over mitt romney at a time when mitt romney was at a low point, he had taken a beating in the republican primaries and we had a series of polls a few weeks ago where it was tied. last poll, obama was up by eight. it's bounced around more whereas in the governor's race, it's been amazingly consistent. i mean, you look at scott walker's numbers, they don't change very much. people are truly dug in about him even more so than they're dug in about president obama as polarizing as president obama is. so that's an interesting aspect of all of this, wisconsin is open ended. it's a hugely tempting target for republicans, if they can flip wisconsin, it makes the math a lot easier in the rest of the country. host: let's go to the news of the weekend, this a piece that was posted on friday, available on line. headline, mitt romney could pick a vice presidential nominee early. and then use that pick to help raise money. senator john mccain waiting until the 2008 republican convention to name his vice presidential pick. the tradition
nbc had a poll earlier this year in which obama had a 17-point lead over mitt romney at a time when mitt romney was at a low point, he had taken a beating in the republican primaries and we had a series of polls a few weeks ago where it was tied. last poll, obama was up by eight. it's bounced around more whereas in the governor's race, it's been amazingly consistent. i mean, you look at scott walker's numbers, they don't change very much. people are truly dug in about him even more so than...